World Cup 2026

Jarvis simulation dashboard

Sportmonks live data is connected through Supabase. Jarvis v0.3 adds normalised squad depth, attack/midfield/defence ratings, overall team balance, chemistry/team-play, star-dependency, match probabilities, title odds, watchlists and an odds/value layer when odds are available.

Data status

LIVE

Sportmonks → Supabase

Teams imported

Real group-stage teams

Fixtures synced

104

72 group · 32 knockout

Latest simulation

PUBLISHED

10,000 runs

Players synced

1000

46/48 teams with squad data

Ratings generated

Team rating rows

Odds snapshots

20770

Pre-match odds imported

Value edges

Private board items

Published model run

Jarvis World Cup v0.3 — 2026-06-04T21:04:21.830Z

Jarvis v0.3 blends live Sportmonks fixtures with generated team ratings, squad-depth signals, attack/midfield/defence strength, balance, chemistry/team-play, star-dependency, tournament pedigree, volatility and odds/value hooks.

Winner probabilities

Team

Qualify

Final

Winner

Spain

Group H · Rating 2076.0

98.1%

85.6%

74.7%

56.2%

33.6%

Argentina

Group J · Rating 2056.0

98.2%

84.1%

67.4%

45.3%

25.8%

France

Group I · Rating 2021.0

97.1%

81.0%

57.2%

31.0%

15.4%

Netherlands

Group F · Rating 1954.0

92.5%

69.8%

39.0%

15.4%

6.0%

Brazil

Group C · Rating 1948.0

94.3%

69.7%

37.1%

13.9%

5.5%

Portugal

Group K · Rating 1983.0

96.5%

67.0%

32.9%

12.6%

5.0%

England

Group L · Rating 1974.0

95.0%

60.5%

25.7%

9.3%

3.3%

Germany

Group E · Rating 1904.0

94.0%

53.1%

20.5%

6.5%

2.4%

Uruguay

Group H · Rating 1894.0

90.5%

45.5%

14.6%

4.3%

1.5%

Morocco

Group C · Rating 1848.0

85.3%

30.1%

7.6%

1.8%

0.5%

Croatia

Group L · Rating 1863.0

86.8%

29.8%

6.9%

1.5%

0.4%

Colombia

Group K · Rating 1851.0

89.6%

21.2%

4.3%

0.6%

0.1%

Team rating diagnostics

v0.3 separates attack, midfield and defence, then adds balance, chemistry/team-play, depth, star-dependency and volatility before calculating the final team rating.

Team

Overall

Attack

Midfield

Defence

Balance

Chemistry

Depth

Star dep.

Vol.

Gap

Spain

Group H

2076

2154

2176

2159

90.7

96.0

36.0

25.1

Argentina

Group J

2056

2138

2149

2142

90.1

96.0

48.0

27.8

France

Group I

2021

2142

2145

2119

83.6

85.0

96.0

57.0

33.0

Portugal

Group K

1983

2062

2068

2071

94.2

90.1

96.0

43.0

27.8

England

Group L

1974

2082

2085

2089

89.4

84.3

96.0

55.0

33.4

Netherlands

Group F

1954

2044

2050

90.3

88.0

96.0

42.0

28.9

Brazil

Group C

1948

2086

2064

83.0

83.5

96.0

64.0

36.2

Germany

Group E

1904

1974

2008

1996

85.5

87.1

96.0

45.0

29.9

Uruguay

Group H

1894

1963

1988

1984

86.1

89.9

96.0

44.0

29.5

Croatia

Group L

1863

1918

1957

1936

84.0

91.7

96.0

40.0

28.0

Colombia

Group K

1851

1945

1967

1956

84.1

82.9

96.0

52.0

34.2

Morocco

Group C

1848

1914

1924

1937

86.7

91.0

96.0

39.0

28.4

Private value-edge snapshot

Match

Selection

Odds

Model

Market

Edge

Decision

Qatar vs Switzerland

1X2

Away

13.00

58.0%

7.7%

50.3%

KEEP

Mexico vs South Africa

1X2

Home

51.00

51.7%

2.0%

49.7%

KEEP

Haiti vs Scotland

1X2

Away

15.00

53.1%

6.7%

46.4%

KEEP

Brazil vs Morocco

1X2

Home

41.00

48.3%

2.4%

45.9%

WATCH

Korea Republic vs Czech Republic

1X2

Away

23.00

42.3%

4.3%

37.9%

WATCH

United States vs Paraguay

1X2

Home

21.00

41.6%

4.8%

36.8%

WATCH

Canada vs Bosnia and Herzegovina

1X2

Home

41.00

37.1%

2.4%

34.7%

WATCH

Australia vs Türkiye

1X2

Away

17.00

39.2%

5.9%

33.3%

WATCH

Opening match predictions

11 Jun · Group A

Mexico vs South Africa

Medium volatility

Home

51.7%

Draw

25.7%

Away

22.6%

xG: 1.52 - 1.13

TRAP_LIST

Model pick: Mexico

12 Jun · Group A

Korea Republic vs Czech Republic

High volatility

Home

29.6%

Draw

28.2%

Away

42.3%

xG: 1.31 - 1.34

DRAW_WATCHUPSET_FLAGVOLATILITY_HIGH

Model pick: Czech Republic

12 Jun · Group B

Canada vs Bosnia and Herzegovina

High volatility

Home

37.1%

Draw

29.4%

Away

33.5%

xG: 1.36 - 1.22

DRAW_WATCHUPSET_FLAGVOLATILITY_HIGH

Model pick: Canada

13 Jun · Group D

United States vs Paraguay

High volatility

Home

41.6%

Draw

28.4%

Away

30%

xG: 1.46 - 1.23

DRAW_WATCHUPSET_FLAGVOLATILITY_HIGH

Model pick: United States

Jarvis watchlist

TRAP_LISTCape Verde Islands vs Saudi ArabiaConfidence 54.6%

Saudi Arabia is favoured but not dominant; draw/upset risk remains material.

TRAP_LISTMexico vs Korea RepublicConfidence 54.4%

Mexico is favoured but not dominant; draw/upset risk remains material.

TRAP_LISTIran vs New ZealandConfidence 53%

Iran is favoured but not dominant; draw/upset risk remains material.

TRAP_LISTCzech Republic vs South AfricaConfidence 51.8%

Czech Republic is favoured but not dominant; draw/upset risk remains material.

TRAP_LISTBrazil vs MoroccoConfidence 51.7%

Brazil is favoured but not dominant; draw/upset risk remains material.

TRAP_LISTColombia vs PortugalConfidence 51.4%

Portugal is favoured but not dominant; draw/upset risk remains material.

Group projections

Group A

Simulation

Mexico

Qual 81%

Win 37%

Czech Republic

Qual 76%

Win 29%

Korea Republic

Qual 64%

Win 20%

South Africa

Qual 52%

Win 13%

Group B

Simulation

Switzerland

Qual 88%

Win 53%

Canada

Qual 66%

Win 19%

Bosnia and Herzegovina

Qual 62%

Win 16%

Qatar

Qual 52%

Win 12%

Group C

Simulation

Brazil

Qual 94%

Win 57%

Morocco

Qual 85%

Win 30%

Scotland

Qual 60%

Win 10%

Haiti

Qual 27%

Win 3%

Group D

Simulation

United States

Qual 75%

Win 32%

Türkiye

Qual 71%

Win 26%

Australia

Qual 64%

Win 22%

Paraguay

Qual 63%

Win 21%

Group E

Simulation

Germany

Qual 94%

Win 59%

Ecuador

Qual 79%

Win 24%

Côte d'Ivoire

Qual 65%

Win 14%

Curacao

Qual 31%

Win 4%

Group F

Simulation

Netherlands

Qual 93%

Win 57%

Japan

Qual 71%

Win 20%

Sweden

Qual 69%

Win 18%

Tunisia

Qual 37%

Win 6%