Match centre

Jarvis match predictions

Every group-stage match now has 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, volatility and Jarvis flags.

11 Jun · Group A

Mexico vs South Africa

Medium volatility

Home

51.7%

Draw

25.7%

Away

22.6%

xG: 1.52 - 1.13

TRAP_LIST

Model pick: Mexico

12 Jun · Group A

Korea Republic vs Czech Republic

High volatility

Home

29.6%

Draw

28.2%

Away

42.3%

xG: 1.31 - 1.34

DRAW_WATCHUPSET_FLAGVOLATILITY_HIGH

Model pick: Czech Republic

12 Jun · Group B

Canada vs Bosnia and Herzegovina

High volatility

Home

37.1%

Draw

29.4%

Away

33.5%

xG: 1.36 - 1.22

DRAW_WATCHUPSET_FLAGVOLATILITY_HIGH

Model pick: Canada

13 Jun · Group D

United States vs Paraguay

High volatility

Home

41.6%

Draw

28.4%

Away

30%

xG: 1.46 - 1.23

DRAW_WATCHUPSET_FLAGVOLATILITY_HIGH

Model pick: United States

13 Jun · Group B

Qatar vs Switzerland

Medium volatility

Home

18%

Draw

24%

Away

58%

xG: 1.18 - 1.53

TRAP_LIST

Model pick: Switzerland

14 Jun · Group C

Brazil vs Morocco

High volatility

Home

48.3%

Draw

26.6%

Away

25.1%

xG: 1.71 - 1.37

DRAW_WATCHUPSET_FLAGTRAP_LISTVOLATILITY_HIGH

Model pick: Brazil

14 Jun · Group C

Haiti vs Scotland

Medium volatility

Home

21.6%

Draw

25.4%

Away

53.1%

xG: 1.16 - 1.38

TRAP_LIST

Model pick: Scotland

14 Jun · Group D

Australia vs Türkiye

High volatility

Home

31.9%

Draw

28.9%

Away

39.2%

xG: 1.36 - 1.33

DRAW_WATCHUPSET_FLAGVOLATILITY_HIGH

Model pick: Türkiye

14 Jun · Group E

Germany vs Curacao

Low volatility

Home

72.2%

Draw

19.6%

Away

8.2%

xG: 1.81 - 0.91

STRONG_FAVOURITE

Model pick: Germany

14 Jun · Group F

Netherlands vs Japan

Medium volatility

Home

53.9%

Draw

25.2%

Away

20.8%

xG: 1.74 - 1.26

TRAP_LIST

Model pick: Netherlands

15 Jun · Group E

Côte d'Ivoire vs Ecuador

High volatility

Home

28.8%

Draw

27.8%

Away

43.3%

xG: 1.33 - 1.37

DRAW_WATCHUPSET_FLAGVOLATILITY_HIGH

Model pick: Ecuador

15 Jun · Group F

Sweden vs Tunisia

Medium volatility

Home

50.8%

Draw

26%

Away

23.2%

xG: 1.53 - 1.14

UPSET_FLAGTRAP_LIST

Model pick: Sweden

15 Jun · Group H

Spain vs Cape Verde Islands

Low volatility

Home

78.7%

Draw

18%

Away

3.3%

xG: 2.08 - 0.80

STRONG_FAVOURITE

Model pick: Spain

15 Jun · Group G

Belgium vs Egypt

Medium volatility

Home

53.9%

Draw

25.1%

Away

20.9%

xG: 1.58 - 1.12

TRAP_LIST

Model pick: Belgium

16 Jun · Group H

Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay

Low volatility

Home

12.3%

Draw

21.6%

Away

66.1%

xG: 1.13 - 1.64

STRONG_FAVOURITE

Model pick: Uruguay

16 Jun · Group G

Iran vs New Zealand

High volatility

Home

47%

Draw

27%

Away

26%

xG: 1.41 - 1.10

DRAW_WATCHUPSET_FLAGTRAP_LISTVOLATILITY_HIGH

Model pick: Iran

16 Jun · Group I

France vs Senegal

Low volatility

Home

65.2%

Draw

21.8%

Away

13%

xG: 1.88 - 1.17

STRONG_FAVOURITE

Model pick: France

17 Jun · Group I

Iraq vs Norway

Medium volatility

Home

18%

Draw

24%

Away

58%

xG: 1.14 - 1.45

TRAP_LIST

Model pick: Norway

17 Jun · Group J

Argentina vs Algeria

Low volatility

Home

70.2%

Draw

20.3%

Away

9.5%

xG: 1.93 - 1.08

STRONG_FAVOURITE

Model pick: Argentina

17 Jun · Group J

Austria vs Jordan

Low volatility

Home

63.8%

Draw

22.7%

Away

13.6%

xG: 1.58 - 0.93

STRONG_FAVOURITE

Model pick: Austria

17 Jun · Group K

Portugal vs Congo DR

Low volatility

Home

76.5%

Draw

18%

Away

5.5%

xG: 1.89 - 0.83

STRONG_FAVOURITE

Model pick: Portugal

17 Jun · Group L

England vs Croatia

High volatility

Home

48.8%

Draw

26.5%

Away

24.7%

xG: 1.71 - 1.37

DRAW_WATCHUPSET_FLAGTRAP_LISTVOLATILITY_HIGH

Model pick: England

18 Jun · Group L

Ghana vs Panama

High volatility

Home

43.9%

Draw

28.1%

Away

28%

xG: 1.37 - 1.11

DRAW_WATCHUPSET_FLAGVOLATILITY_HIGH

Model pick: Ghana

18 Jun · Group K

Uzbekistan vs Colombia

Low volatility

Home

14.2%

Draw

22.3%

Away

63.6%

xG: 1.10 - 1.55

STRONG_FAVOURITE

Model pick: Colombia

18 Jun · Group A

Czech Republic vs South Africa

High volatility

Home

48.2%

Draw

26.6%

Away

25.2%

xG: 1.47 - 1.14

DRAW_WATCHUPSET_FLAGTRAP_LISTVOLATILITY_HIGH

Model pick: Czech Republic

18 Jun · Group B

Switzerland vs Bosnia and Herzegovina

Medium volatility

Home

53.4%

Draw

25.3%

Away

21.3%

xG: 1.60 - 1.14

TRAP_LIST

Model pick: Switzerland

19 Jun · Group B

Canada vs Qatar

High volatility

Home

42%

Draw

28.2%

Away

29.8%

xG: 1.39 - 1.16

DRAW_WATCHUPSET_FLAGVOLATILITY_HIGH

Model pick: Canada

19 Jun · Group A

Mexico vs Korea Republic

High volatility

Home

45.6%

Draw

27.3%

Away

27.1%

xG: 1.49 - 1.20

DRAW_WATCHUPSET_FLAGTRAP_LISTVOLATILITY_HIGH

Model pick: Mexico

19 Jun · Group D

United States vs Australia

High volatility

Home

40.6%

Draw

28.6%

Away

30.9%

xG: 1.45 - 1.25

DRAW_WATCHUPSET_FLAGVOLATILITY_HIGH

Model pick: United States

20 Jun · Group C

Scotland vs Morocco

Medium volatility

Home

22.4%

Draw

25.8%

Away

51.8%

xG: 1.30 - 1.52

TRAP_LIST

Model pick: Morocco

20 Jun · Group C

Brazil vs Haiti

Low volatility

Home

74.4%

Draw

18.8%

Away

6.8%

xG: 1.89 - 0.91

STRONG_FAVOURITE

Model pick: Brazil

20 Jun · Group D

Türkiye vs Paraguay

High volatility

Home

40.1%

Draw

28.8%

Away

31.1%

xG: 1.44 - 1.24

DRAW_WATCHUPSET_FLAGVOLATILITY_HIGH

Model pick: Türkiye

20 Jun · Group F

Netherlands vs Sweden

Medium volatility

Home

55.3%

Draw

24.8%

Away

19.9%

xG: 1.74 - 1.25

TRAP_LIST

Model pick: Netherlands

20 Jun · Group E

Germany vs Côte d'Ivoire

Low volatility

Home

59.8%

Draw

23.4%

Away

16.8%

xG: 1.72 - 1.14

TRAP_LIST

Model pick: Germany

21 Jun · Group E

Ecuador vs Curacao

Low volatility

Home

60.4%

Draw

23.2%

Away

16.4%

xG: 1.56 - 0.99

TRAP_LIST

Model pick: Ecuador

21 Jun · Group F

Tunisia vs Japan

Medium volatility

Home

22%

Draw

25.5%

Away

52.5%

xG: 1.23 - 1.44

TRAP_LIST

Model pick: Japan

21 Jun · Group H

Spain vs Saudi Arabia

Low volatility

Home

76.6%

Draw

18%

Away

5.4%

xG: 2.02 - 0.93

STRONG_FAVOURITE

Model pick: Spain

21 Jun · Group G

Belgium vs Iran

High volatility

Home

49.1%

Draw

26.4%

Away

24.5%

xG: 1.56 - 1.18

DRAW_WATCHUPSET_FLAGTRAP_LISTVOLATILITY_HIGH

Model pick: Belgium

22 Jun · Group H

Uruguay vs Cape Verde Islands

Low volatility

Home

72.2%

Draw

19.6%

Away

8.2%

xG: 1.80 - 0.90

STRONG_FAVOURITE

Model pick: Uruguay

22 Jun · Group G

New Zealand vs Egypt

High volatility

Home

29.6%

Draw

28.2%

Away

42.3%

xG: 1.23 - 1.25

DRAW_WATCHUPSET_FLAGVOLATILITY_HIGH

Model pick: Egypt

22 Jun · Group J

Argentina vs Austria

Low volatility

Home

67.1%

Draw

21.3%

Away

11.6%

xG: 1.91 - 1.15

STRONG_FAVOURITE

Model pick: Argentina

22 Jun · Group I

France vs Iraq

Low volatility

Home

76.8%

Draw

18%

Away

5.2%

xG: 1.99 - 0.89

STRONG_FAVOURITE

Model pick: France

23 Jun · Group I

Norway vs Senegal

High volatility

Home

36.5%

Draw

29.5%

Away

33.9%

xG: 1.44 - 1.32

DRAW_WATCHUPSET_FLAGVOLATILITY_HIGH

Model pick: Norway

23 Jun · Group J

Jordan vs Algeria

Low volatility

Home

16.4%

Draw

23.5%

Away

60.1%

xG: 1.05 - 1.42

TRAP_LIST

Model pick: Algeria

23 Jun · Group K

Portugal vs Uzbekistan

Low volatility

Home

72.2%

Draw

19.6%

Away

8.2%

xG: 1.85 - 0.94

STRONG_FAVOURITE

Model pick: Portugal

23 Jun · Group L

England vs Ghana

Low volatility

Home

68.1%

Draw

21%

Away

10.9%

xG: 1.82 - 1.04

STRONG_FAVOURITE

Model pick: England

24 Jun · Group L

Panama vs Croatia

Low volatility

Home

13.2%

Draw

21.9%

Away

65%

xG: 1.09 - 1.60

STRONG_FAVOURITE

Model pick: Croatia

24 Jun · Group K

Colombia vs Congo DR

Low volatility

Home

69.5%

Draw

20.7%

Away

9.8%

xG: 1.70 - 0.89

STRONG_FAVOURITE

Model pick: Colombia

24 Jun · Group B

Switzerland vs Canada

Medium volatility

Home

51.2%

Draw

25.9%

Away

22.9%

xG: 1.59 - 1.17

TRAP_LIST

Model pick: Switzerland

24 Jun · Group B

Bosnia and Herzegovina vs Qatar

High volatility

Home

39.8%

Draw

28.8%

Away

31.4%

xG: 1.37 - 1.18

DRAW_WATCHUPSET_FLAGVOLATILITY_HIGH

Model pick: Bosnia and Herzegovina

25 Jun · Group C

Scotland vs Brazil

Low volatility

Home

14.3%

Draw

22.4%

Away

63.3%

xG: 1.23 - 1.69

STRONG_FAVOURITE

Model pick: Brazil

25 Jun · Group C

Morocco vs Haiti

Low volatility

Home

66.7%

Draw

21.4%

Away

11.9%

xG: 1.72 - 0.98

STRONG_FAVOURITE

Model pick: Morocco

25 Jun · Group A

South Africa vs Korea Republic

High volatility

Home

30.3%

Draw

28.4%

Away

41.3%

xG: 1.28 - 1.28

DRAW_WATCHUPSET_FLAGVOLATILITY_HIGH

Model pick: Korea Republic

25 Jun · Group A

Czech Republic vs Mexico

High volatility

Home

32.3%

Draw

29.1%

Away

38.6%

xG: 1.39 - 1.35

DRAW_WATCHUPSET_FLAGVOLATILITY_HIGH

Model pick: Mexico

25 Jun · Group E

Ecuador vs Germany

Medium volatility

Home

21.9%

Draw

25.5%

Away

52.6%

xG: 1.34 - 1.57

TRAP_LIST

Model pick: Germany

25 Jun · Group E

Curacao vs Côte d'Ivoire

Medium volatility

Home

21.5%

Draw

25.4%

Away

53.2%

xG: 1.14 - 1.37

TRAP_LIST

Model pick: Côte d'Ivoire

26 Jun · Group F

Tunisia vs Netherlands

Low volatility

Home

11%

Draw

21%

Away

68.1%

xG: 1.14 - 1.72

STRONG_FAVOURITE

Model pick: Netherlands

26 Jun · Group F

Japan vs Sweden

High volatility

Home

36.3%

Draw

29.6%

Away

34.1%

xG: 1.46 - 1.34

DRAW_WATCHUPSET_FLAGVOLATILITY_HIGH

Model pick: Japan

26 Jun · Group D

Paraguay vs Australia

High volatility

Home

34.1%

Draw

29.8%

Away

36.1%

xG: 1.36 - 1.29

DRAW_WATCHUPSET_FLAGVOLATILITY_HIGH

Model pick: Australia

26 Jun · Group D

Türkiye vs United States

High volatility

Home

33.8%

Draw

29.6%

Away

36.6%

xG: 1.41 - 1.33

DRAW_WATCHUPSET_FLAGVOLATILITY_HIGH

Model pick: United States

26 Jun · Group I

Norway vs France

Low volatility

Home

13.8%

Draw

22.2%

Away

64%

xG: 1.28 - 1.76

STRONG_FAVOURITE

Model pick: France

26 Jun · Group I

Senegal vs Iraq

Medium volatility

Home

56.5%

Draw

24.5%

Away

19.1%

xG: 1.55 - 1.05

TRAP_LIST

Model pick: Senegal

27 Jun · Group H

Uruguay vs Spain

Medium volatility

Home

20.3%

Draw

24.9%

Away

54.8%

xG: 1.48 - 1.76

TRAP_LIST

Model pick: Spain

27 Jun · Group H

Cape Verde Islands vs Saudi Arabia

High volatility

Home

27.2%

Draw

27.4%

Away

45.5%

xG: 1.16 - 1.25

DRAW_WATCHUPSET_FLAGTRAP_LISTVOLATILITY_HIGH

Model pick: Saudi Arabia

27 Jun · Group G

Egypt vs Iran

High volatility

Home

31%

Draw

28.7%

Away

40.2%

xG: 1.29 - 1.28

DRAW_WATCHUPSET_FLAGVOLATILITY_HIGH

Model pick: Iran

27 Jun · Group G

New Zealand vs Belgium

Low volatility

Home

16.3%

Draw

23.3%

Away

60.4%

xG: 1.13 - 1.52

TRAP_LIST

Model pick: Belgium

27 Jun · Group L

Panama vs England

Low volatility

Home

7.6%

Draw

19.2%

Away

73.2%

xG: 1.02 - 1.77

STRONG_FAVOURITE

Model pick: England

27 Jun · Group L

Croatia vs Ghana

Medium volatility

Home

57.6%

Draw

24.2%

Away

18.3%

xG: 1.66 - 1.11

TRAP_LIST

Model pick: Croatia

28 Jun · Group K

Colombia vs Portugal

High volatility

Home

24.8%

Draw

26.6%

Away

48.6%

xG: 1.44 - 1.59

DRAW_WATCHUPSET_FLAGTRAP_LISTVOLATILITY_HIGH

Model pick: Portugal

28 Jun · Group K

Congo DR vs Uzbekistan

High volatility

Home

27.3%

Draw

29.6%

Away

43.1%

xG: 1.15 - 1.21

DRAW_WATCHUPSET_FLAGVOLATILITY_HIGH

Model pick: Uzbekistan

28 Jun · Group J

Algeria vs Austria

High volatility

Home

31.1%

Draw

28.7%

Away

40.2%

xG: 1.36 - 1.34

DRAW_WATCHUPSET_FLAGVOLATILITY_HIGH

Model pick: Austria

28 Jun · Group J

Jordan vs Argentina

Low volatility

Home

2.9%

Draw

18%

Away

79.1%

xG: 0.85 - 1.97

STRONG_FAVOURITE

Model pick: Argentina